Analisis Dinamika Pasar Kerja di Era Pemulihan Ekonomi: Pengaruh Output Ekonomi, Upah, Pendidikan, dan Investasi Asing di Indonesia

Authors

  • Septin Azzahro Universitas Brawijaya
  • Ribka Widayati Samudra Universitas Brawijaya
  • Khusnul Ashar Universitas Brawijaya
  • Axellina Muara Setyanti Universitas Brawijaya

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.58192/wawasan.v3i2.3198

Keywords:

Average Years of Schooling, GDRP, Foreign Investment, LFPR, Provincial Minimum Wage

Abstract

This study aims to analyze the influence of Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP), Average Years of Schooling (AYS), Provincial Minimum Wage (PMW), and realized foreign investment on the Labor Force Participation Rate (LFPR). The background of this research is based on the urgency of understanding labor market dynamics as a strategic indicator of economic development, particularly following the COVID-19 pandemic. A quantitative approach is utilized in this study, applying panel data regression across 34 provinces in Indonesia during the period 2020–2023. The analysis results indicate that GRDP, AYS, PMW, and foreign investment have a positive and significant influence on LFPR. An increase in the average years of schooling reflects an improvement in human resource quality, which encourages labor force participation. The rise in the Provincial Minimum Wage plays a role in strengthening incentives to enter the formal labor market. GRDP growth demonstrates an economic expansion effect that broadens job opportunities, while foreign investment serves as a catalyst in the creation of new employment opportunities.These findings offer important implications for the formulation of strategic policies in the fields of employment, education, and investment, specifically in strengthening the involvement of the productive workforce in Indonesia's development and output creation.

References

Abbritti, M., & Consolo, A. (2022). Labour market skills, endogenous productivity and business cycles. Frankfurt.

Achard, P., & Suetens, S. (2023). The causal effect of ethnic diversity on support for redistribution and the role of discrimination. Journal of Economic Surveys, 37(5), 1678–1696.

Adhikara, C., & Judijanto, L. (2024). Ekonomi Modern Dasar-Dasar dan Implikasinya. Retrieved from https://www.researchgate.net/publication/389041221

Adi, L., Barat, K., Tengah, K., Selatan, K., Kalimantan, D., & Kalimantan, T. P. (2018). PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DAN PENYERAPAN TENAGA KERJA DI PULAU KALIMANTAN. Develop, 2(1).

Aji, C. A., & Ariani, M. B. N. (2024). ANALISIS FAKTOR-FAKTOR YANG MEMPENGARUHI PENYERAPAN TENAGA KERJA DI 10 PROVINSI PULAU SUMATERA TAHUN 2010-2022. Jurnal Of Development Economic And Digitalization.

Anugrawati, A., & Iwang, B. (2023). PENGARUH BELANJA PEMERINTAH DAN INVESTASI TERHADAP TINGKAT PARTISIPASI ANGKATAN KERJA DI INDONESIA.

Baltagi, B. H. (2021). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data (6th ed.). Springer.

Becker, G. S. (1976). The Economic Approach to Human Behavior 1976. University of Chicago press.

Bernstein, J., Richter, A. W., & Throckmorton, N. A. (2020). The Business Cycle Mechanics of Search and Matching Models. Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, Working Papers, 2020(2026).

Camargo, B., Lange, F., & Pastorino, E. (2022). On the Role of Learning, Human Capital, and Performance Incentives for Wages. Cambridge, MA. https://doi.org/10.3386/w30191

Cenc, H. (2022). Government Expenditure and Economic Growth in Euro Area Countries. Naše Gospodarstvo/Our Economy, 68(2), 19–27. https://doi.org/10.2478/ngoe-2022-0008

Dutt, A. K. (2006). Aggregate Demand, Aggregate Supply and Economic Growth. International Review of Applied Economics, 20(3), 319–336.

Gujarati, D. N. (2021). Essentials of Econometrics (Fifth Edition). Sage Publications.

Holzner, C. (2005). Education and Asymmetric Information in the Labor Market Three Essays in Search Theory. Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Munchen.

Husna Siregar, T. (2022). The Effects of Minimum Wages on Labor Market Outcomes: The Case of Indonesia. Waseda University, Tokyo.

Huwe, V., & Rehm, M. (2022). The ecological crisis and post-Keynesian economics – bridging the gap? European Journal of Economics and Economic Policies: Intervention, (3).

Isnainul, O., Fitriyani Pakpahan, E., Hadlen, M., & Winni violita, C. (2020). PERANAN INVESTASI ASING DALAM PERCEPATAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI INDONESIA. JATISWARA, 35(3).

Lim, W. M. (2024). What Is Quantitative Research? An Overview and Guidelines. Australasian Marketing Journal. https://doi.org/10.1177/14413582241264622

Lisauskaite, E. (2022). Matching Efficiency and Heterogeneous Workers in the UK. Bonn. Retrieved from www.iza.org

Lucifora, C., & Origo, F. (2022). Performance-related pay and productivity. IZA World of Labor.

Malik, N. Z. F. (2024). PENGARUH PRODUK DOMESTIK REGIONAL BRUTO, INDEKS PEMBANGUNAN MANUSIA DAN TINGKAT UPAH TERHADAP TINGKAT PARTISIPASI ANGKATAN KERJA DI PROVINSI SULAWESI TENGGARA. Universitas Islam Negeri Alauddin, Makassar.

Mota, P. R., Fernandes, A. L. C., & Vasconcelos, P. B. (2020). Employment hysteresis: an argument for avoiding front-loaded fiscal consolidations in the eurozone. Review of Keynesian Economics, 8(4), 536–559. https://doi.org/10.4337/roke.2020.04.05

Nurnafisah, & Effendi, R. (2023). PENGARUH BELANJA MODAL DAN INVESTASI ASING TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI DI SUMATERA UTARA. JIM EKP) Fakultas Ekonomi Dan Bisnis Universitas Syiah Kuala, 8(4), 2549–8363.

Oyvat, C. (2023). Minimum wage, aggregate demand and employment: A demand-led model.

Purba, B., Fatma Wijaya, M., Lumbantobing, M., & Ardhana, M. B. (2024). Pemikiran Ekonomi Politik Keynesian dan Kebijakan Pemerintah dalam Mendorong Pertumbuhan Ekonomi. Jurnal Ilmiah Wahana Pendidikan, 10(12), 76–83. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.12511356

Rahmi, J., & Riyanto. (2022). DAMPAK UPAH MINIMUM TERHADAP PRODUKTIVITAS TENAGA KERJA: STUDI KASUS INDUSTRI MANUFAKTUR INDONESIA. Jurnal Ekonomi & Kebijakan Publik, 13(1), 1–12.

Ransom, T. (2022). Labor Market Frictions and Moving Costs of the Employed and Unemployed. Journal of Human Resources, 57(S), S137–S166.

Renjie, L., & Yijun, L. (2023). How to write a good literature review? Myths about Literature Research. In Taiwan Education Review.

Sain, K., & Bozkurt, K. (2023). The Effect of Human Capital as an Output of Education on Productivity: A Panel Data Analysis for Developing Countries. Educational Policy Analysis and Strategic Research, 18(4), 7–31. https://doi.org/10.29329/epasr.2023.631.1

Sari, V. K. (2022). THE ROLE OF EDUCATION TOWARDS ECONOMIC GROWTH: EVIDENCE FROM INDONESIA. In JDEP (Vol. 5).

Saurav, A., Liu, Y., & Sinha, A. (2020). Foreign Direct Investment and Employment Outcomes in Developing Countries IN FOCUS A Literature Review of the Effects of FDI on Job Creation and Wages. Retrieved from www.worldbank.org

Sjöholm, F. (2005). The Impact of Inward FDI on Host Countries: Why Such Different Answers?

Sosvilla-Rivero, S., Ramos-Herrera, M. del C., & Rubio-Guerrero, J. J. (2025). Public Expenditure and Economic Growth: Further Evidence for the European Union. Economies, 13(3), 60.

The ASEAN Secretariat. (2021). REGIONAL STUDY ON LABOR PRODUCTIVITY IN ASEAN Regional Study on Labour Productivity in ASEAN one vision one identity one community. Jakarta.

Ullah, U., & Faqir, S. (2025). Nexus Between Human Capital Expenditures and Economic Growth in Pakistan. Journal of Asian Development Studies, 14(1), 447–463.

Wadsworth, J. (2022). Are wages keeping up with the cost of living?

Wijayanti, D., & Mufarrah, R. (2024). Analisis Dampak PDRB, Investasi, Rata-Rata Lama Sekolah dan Upah Minimum terhadap Kesempatan Kerja: Sebuah Studi Empiris di Jawa Tengah Tahun 2018-2022. Jurnal Aplikasi Bisnis, 21(1), 553.

Williams, R. (2020). Heteroskedasticity. Retrieved from https://www3.nd.edu/~rwilliam/

Yussoff, N. E., & Sulaiman, N. (2025). The Wage Impact of Education and Skills Mismatch: Evidence from Systematic Literature Review. International Journal of Research and Innovation in Social Science, IX(XV), 66–79. https://doi.org/10.47772/IJRISS.2025.915EC005

Downloads

Published

2025-04-19

How to Cite

Azzahro, S., Samudra, R. W., Ashar, K., & Setyanti, A. M. (2025). Analisis Dinamika Pasar Kerja di Era Pemulihan Ekonomi: Pengaruh Output Ekonomi, Upah, Pendidikan, dan Investasi Asing di Indonesia. Wawasan : Jurnal Ilmu Manajemen, Ekonomi Dan Kewirausahaan, 3(2), 260–280. https://doi.org/10.58192/wawasan.v3i2.3198