Penerapan Regresi Linier Dalam Memprediksi Upah Minimum Provinsi Di Indonesia

Authors

  • Bright Nine Ginting Universitas Negeri Medan
  • Khairun Nadiah Universitas Negeri Medan
  • Grace Oktavia Universitas Negeri Medan
  • Daniel Sembiring Universitas Negeri Medan

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.58192/populer.v3i1.1662

Keywords:

Provincial Minimum Wage, Linear Regression, Forecasting

Abstract

This research aims to evaluate the effectiveness of linear regression as a forecasting tool to estimate the Provincial Minimum Wage (UMP) in Indonesia. Utilizing UMP data from various provinces during the period 2002-2022, this study employs linear regression to analyze the factors influencing UMP determination. The predicted UMP for North Sumatra in 2023 demonstrates a high level of accuracy (R-squared = 0.9678), affirming the potential of linear regression as an effective tool to understand regional economic dynamics. The research provides a crucial foundation for policymakers in regional economic planning and suggests avenues for further investigation, including exploring alternative prediction methods and analyzing the impact of UMP regulation policies.

References

Hasibuan, L. H., & Musthofa, S. (2022). Penerapan Metode Regresi Linear Sederhana Untuk Prediksi Harga Beras di Kota Padang. JOSTECH: Journal of Science and Technology, 2(1), 85–95. https://doi.org/10.15548/jostech.v2i1.3802

Husada, A. P., & Yuhan, R. J. (2022). Direct dan Indirect Effect: Determinan Upah Minimum Kabupaten/Kota di Jawa Barat. Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Pembangunan Indonesia, 22(1), 98–116. https://doi.org/10.21002/jepi.2022.06

Junaidi, E., & Muchlisoh, S. (2022). Simultanitas Tingkat Upah Dan Penyerapan Tenaga Kerja Sektoral Di Indonesia. Jurnal Dinamika Ekonomi Pembangunan, 5(1), 56–77. https://doi.org/10.14710/jdep.5.1.56-77

Paramita, R. (2021). Menilik Upah Minimum dan Ketimpangan. Jurnal Budget, 6(2), 184–200.

Putri, N. D. K., & Wulandari, D. K. A. (2022). Determinant Analysis of Income Inequality in Indonesia 2015-2020. Indonesian Journal of Human Resource Management, 1(1), 1–15.

Rafly, M., Maulana, A., Deskar, D., Rahman, A. F., Ramadhan, I. F., Adha, A., & Attala, V. D. (2023). Analysis of the Effects of Globalization and Climate Change on a SustainableIndonesian Economy. Publiciana, 16(1), 25–32.

Rizki, M. I., & Ammar, T. (2022). Pemodelan Spatial Autoregressive Quantile Regression Pada Faktor Yang Memengaruhi Tingkat Incident Rate Demam Berdarah Dengue di Jawa Barat. Prosiding Seminar Nasional Matematika Dan Statistika, 312–321. http://jurnal.fmipa.unmul.ac.id/index.php/SNMSA/article/view/843%0Ahttp://jurnal.fmipa.unmul.ac.id/index.php/SNMSA/article/download/843/398

Shintia, N., & Abbas, S. (2019). Penetapan Upah Minimum Di Provinsi Aceh. Jurnal Justisia : Jurnal Ilmu Hukum, Perundang-Undangan Dan Pranata Sosial, 3(1), 164. https://doi.org/10.22373/justisia.v3i1.5091

Sutama, I. N., Asmini, & Astika, S. (2019). Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Penetapan Upah Minimum Kabupaten Sumbawa Tahun 2013-2017. Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Bisnis, 16(3), 281–291.

Tridiana, C., & Widyawati, D. (2018). Dampak Upah Minimum terhadap Probabilitas Keluar dari Sektor Formal. Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Pembangunan Indonesia, 18(3), 119–139. https://doi.org/10.21002/jepi.2018.19

Downloads

Published

2023-12-13

How to Cite

Bright Nine Ginting, Khairun Nadiah, Grace Oktavia, & Daniel Sembiring. (2023). Penerapan Regresi Linier Dalam Memprediksi Upah Minimum Provinsi Di Indonesia. Populer: Jurnal Penelitian Mahasiswa, 3(1), 38–45. https://doi.org/10.58192/populer.v3i1.1662